SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
35.88% ( 0.22) | 26.59% ( -0.03) | 37.53% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.29% ( 0.13) | 52.71% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.65% ( 0.11) | 74.35% ( -0.1) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( 0.19) | 28.22% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( 0.24) | 63.92% ( -0.24) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.75% ( -0.05) | 27.25% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( -0.06) | 62.67% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.88% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.53% |
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