SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Southport |
50.4% ( -0.63) | 24.44% ( 0.48) | 25.15% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.74% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.74% ( -1.93) | 48.26% ( 1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( -1.79) | 70.41% ( 1.79) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -0.99) | 19.16% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.17% ( -1.66) | 50.82% ( 1.66) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% ( -0.92) | 33.52% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% ( -1.02) | 70.15% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.09% Total : 50.4% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 25.15% |
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