SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Hereford United |
39.42% ( 0.16) | 25.39% | 35.19% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.2% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.41% ( -0.02) | 47.59% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( -0.01) | 69.8% ( 0.01) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.14% ( 0.08) | 23.86% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.95% ( 0.11) | 58.05% ( -0.11) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.1) | 26.18% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( -0.13) | 61.27% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.42% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.19% |
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