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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
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Stevenage
1 - 1
Gillingham

Gillingham win 5-4 on penalties
Kemp (68')
Revell (49'), White (60'), King (87')
FT
(aet)
Andrews (26')
Gbode (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Reading
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Stevenage 1-0 Gillingham

Stevenage might be on a winless streak, but the hosts have proven in the past that their quality will see them through when they face a lower-quality opposition, which is why we are predicting a win for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%).

Result
StevenageDrawGillingham
43.27% (-2.143 -2.14) 27.3% (0.349 0.35) 29.42% (1.792 1.79)
Both teams to score 48.24% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (-0.46 -0.46)56.93% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.15% (-0.37 -0.37)77.84% (0.369 0.37)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-1.287 -1.29)26.08% (1.286 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-1.762 -1.76)61.13% (1.76 1.76)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (1.162 1.16)34.73% (-1.163 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.53% (1.21 1.21)71.46% (-1.212 -1.21)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 43.27%
    Gillingham 29.43%
    Draw 27.29%
StevenageDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.215 -0.22)
2-0 @ 8.18% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.357 -0.36)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.171 -0.17)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 43.27%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.06% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.58% (0.461 0.46)
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.293 0.29)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.393 0.39)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.175 0.18)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.19 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 29.43%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Reading
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Guiseley (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 1-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-2 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Port Vale
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Blackpool
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swindon 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Newport
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Accrington
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in League Two


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