Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
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