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FA Cup | Fourth Round Replays
Feb 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium of Light
FL

Sunderland
2 - 3
Fulham

Clarke (77'), Bennette (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wilson (8'), Pereira (59'), Kurzawa (82')
Duffy (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Fulham
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Premier League

We said: Sunderland 1-2 Fulham

Having held Chelsea to a goalless draw at Stamford Bridge last time out, Fulham should book their place in the fifth round of the FA Cup on Wednesday, although Sunderland are expected to push the Premier League side all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawFulham
38.65% (2.029 2.03) 25.43% (0.306 0.31) 35.92% (-2.33 -2.33)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-1.122 -1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.33% (-1.425 -1.43)47.67% (1.429 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-1.328 -1.33)69.86% (1.334 1.33)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71% (0.447 0.45)24.29% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (0.627 0.63)58.67% (-0.621 -0.62)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-1.929 -1.93)25.79% (1.933 1.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.25% (-2.691 -2.69)60.75% (2.695 2.7)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 38.65%
    Fulham 35.92%
    Draw 25.42%
SunderlandDrawFulham
1-0 @ 8.87% (0.622 0.62)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.248 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.514 0.51)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.167 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.277 0.28)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.111 0.11)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.65%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.365 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.324 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.306 -0.31)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 35.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Middlesbrough
Sunday, January 22 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-3 Swansea
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Sunderland
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Sunderland
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Fulham
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Sunderland
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Spurs
Monday, January 23 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Fulham
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Chelsea
Thursday, January 12 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup


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