SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Sunderland |
20.61% ( -0.01) | 24.5% ( -0.01) | 54.89% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.02% ( 0.01) | 52.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% ( 0.01) | 74.58% ( -0.01) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.58% ( -0) | 40.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.96% ( -0) | 77.04% ( 0) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( 0.01) | 19.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.08% ( 0.02) | 50.92% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.26% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.31% 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.61% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 12.81% 0-2 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.88% |
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