SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Fulham |
56.53% ( -0.55) | 23.78% ( 0.09) | 19.69% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.7% ( 0.2) | 51.29% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( 0.17) | 73.12% ( -0.18) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( -0.13) | 17.97% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.19% ( -0.22) | 48.81% ( 0.21) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0.61) | 40.44% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( 0.55) | 77.05% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.16% Total : 19.69% |
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