SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Chelsea |
37.79% ( 0.13) | 24.8% ( 0.02) | 37.41% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.5% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( -0.11) | 44.7% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( -0.1) | 67.07% ( 0.1) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( 0.02) | 23.41% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( 0.03) | 57.4% ( -0.03) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% ( -0.13) | 23.61% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( -0.19) | 57.7% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.41% |
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