SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Fulham |
60.06% ( 1.15) | 21.88% ( -0.75) | 18.06% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( 2.58) | 45.78% ( -2.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.9% ( 2.4) | 68.1% ( -2.41) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( 1.26) | 14.82% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.88% ( 2.34) | 43.12% ( -2.34) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.94% ( 1.06) | 39.06% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.22% ( 0.99) | 75.78% ( -0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.74) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.54% Total : 60.06% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.66)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.45) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.18% Total : 18.06% |
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