SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Sunderland |
41.88% ( -0.36) | 24.73% ( 0.05) | 33.39% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.04% ( -0.14) | 44.96% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( -0.13) | 67.31% ( 0.13) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( -0.23) | 21.5% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.45% ( -0.35) | 54.55% ( 0.35) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74% ( 0.12) | 26% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.98% ( 0.16) | 61.02% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fulham | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 41.88% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.72% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 33.39% |
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