SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Bishop's Stortford win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Alfreton Town |
30.72% ( 2.8) | 25.78% ( 0.21) | 43.5% ( -3.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.48% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( 0.51) | 50.48% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( 0.45) | 72.41% ( -0.45) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( 2.31) | 30.45% ( -2.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% ( 2.66) | 66.65% ( -2.66) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -1.18) | 23.1% ( 1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( -1.76) | 56.95% ( 1.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.5)2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.31)Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.72% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.59) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.72)1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.5)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.24)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.49% |
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