Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.02%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.