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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
29.59% ( -6.6) | 25.66% ( -0.16) | 44.74% ( 6.76) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( -1.06) | 50.48% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( -0.95) | 72.41% ( 0.95) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( -4.78) | 31.24% ( 4.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( -5.95) | 67.59% ( 5.95) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 2.95) | 22.51% ( -2.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( 4.21) | 56.08% ( -4.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( -1.05)2-0 @ 4.76% ( -1.19)3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.86)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.42)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.79)Other @ 2.9% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.28)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 1.26) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.72)0-2 @ 7.82% ( 1.51)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.7)0-3 @ 3.89% ( 1.01)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.38)0-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.47)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.18% Total : 44.73% |
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