SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
29.59% ( -6.6) | 25.66% ( -0.16) | 44.74% ( 6.76) |
| Both teams to score 53.28% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.52% ( -1.06) | 50.48% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.59% ( -0.95) | 72.41% ( 0.95) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( -4.78) | 31.24% ( 4.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.41% ( -5.95) | 67.59% ( 5.95) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 2.95) | 22.51% ( -2.95) |
