SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
35.66% ( 0.18) | 26.26% ( -0.04) | 38.07% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( 0.17) | 51.34% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( 0.15) | 73.16% ( -0.15) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( 0.19) | 27.68% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( 0.25) | 63.24% ( -0.25) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( -0.01) | 26.29% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.58% ( -0.01) | 61.41% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.07% |
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