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National League North | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
0 - 1
Brackley Town

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dean (54')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawBrackley Town
35.66% (0.184 0.18) 26.26% (-0.038 -0.04) 38.07% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (0.168 0.17)51.34% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.83% (0.145 0.15)73.16% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.31% (0.18900000000001 0.19)27.68% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.76% (0.248 0.25)63.24% (-0.253 -0.25)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)26.29% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)61.41% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 35.66%
    Brackley Town 38.07%
    Draw 26.25%
Alfreton TownDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 9.35% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 35.66%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-3 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 0-4 Alfreton
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Worthing
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Alfreton 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 South Shields
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-1 Rushall Olympic
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North


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