With only one place separating the two teams in the league standings, we think the most likely result in this one is a narrow Wrexham win.
If the away side do take the lead, other games this season indicate that they are capable of running away with it, but the Boreham Wood defence should be good enough to keep it tight.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
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