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National League | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
B

Wrexham
7 - 5
Barnet

Hayden (9', 60'), O'Connor (35'), Mullin (37', 54' pen.), Young (56'), Palmer (65')
Young (38'), (44'), Mullin (86'), Palmer (90+6')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Kabamba (29', 76'), Pritchard (31'), Kanu (51', 85')
(53'), Gorman (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 4-3 Maidstone
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Wrexham 4-0 Barnet

Wrexham have developed a great habit of winning games by big margins this season, and we expect them to do the same here. Defeat on Tuesday night will mean Phil Parkinson's side are eager to make a statement, and they have the perfect chance to do so given Barnet's poor defensive record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 84.86%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 5.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 4-0 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.3%), while for a Barnet win it was 1-2 (1.71%). The actual scoreline of 7-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBarnet
84.86% (0.0030000000000001 0) 9.75% (-0.00089999999999968 -0) 5.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Both teams to score 52.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.9% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)3.61% (-0.00090000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.41% (0.0049999999999955 0)15.59% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.8%45.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.09% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 84.86%
    Barnet 5.39%
    Draw 9.75%
WrexhamDrawBarnet
3-0 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 8.28%
3-1 @ 7.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.14% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 6.57%
5-0 @ 5.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 4.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.14%
6-0 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 2.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.73%
7-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-1 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 84.86%
1-1 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 2.84%
0-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 9.75%
1-2 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 5.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 6-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Dag & Red
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-5 Wrexham
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 4-3 Maidstone
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 0-5 York City
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 5-4 Barnet
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 1-1 Barnet
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 0-1 Dorking
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-1 Barnet
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League


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