SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 79.93%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.98%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Altrincham |
79.93% ( -0.7) | 11.96% ( 0.37) | 8.11% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 59.29% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.78% ( -0.79) | 22.22% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.8% ( -1.09) | 41.2% ( 1.09) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.69% ( -0.25) | 4.31% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.14% ( -0.78) | 17.86% ( 0.78) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.02) | 38.04% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% ( 0.02) | 74.81% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Altrincham |
| 3-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.2)5-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.07)6-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)7-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.4% Total : 79.93% | 1-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 11.96% | 1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 8.11% |
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