SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wrexham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Wrexham |
24.92% ( -0) | 22.45% ( -0) | 52.63% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.22% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.42% ( 0.01) | 39.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.07% ( 0.01) | 61.93% ( -0.01) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.96% ( 0.01) | 29.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.05% ( 0.01) | 64.95% ( -0.01) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% ( 0.01) | 15.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.3% ( 0.01) | 43.7% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 6.34% 1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.32% Total : 24.92% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.33% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 3.94% Total : 52.63% |
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