SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Barnet |
40.59% ( 4.87) | 26.18% ( 0.4) | 33.23% ( -5.27) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( -1.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.65% ( -2.09) | 51.35% ( 2.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.83% ( -1.86) | 73.17% ( 1.86) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 1.72) | 24.94% ( -1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 2.34) | 59.57% ( -2.33) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% ( -4.1) | 29.2% ( 4.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( -5.35) | 65.15% ( 5.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 1.26) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.56)2-0 @ 7.02% ( 1.18)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.67)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.21)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.59% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.17% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.79)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.88)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.75)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.68)2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.39)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.38)Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.23% |
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