SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
30.82% ( 0.04) | 26.43% ( 0.03) | 42.76% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( -0.09) | 53.07% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.35% ( -0.07) | 74.65% ( 0.08) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( -0.02) | 31.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% ( -0.02) | 68.11% ( 0.02) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.07) | 24.6% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -0.1) | 59.1% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 42.75% |
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