SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Roma |
30.51% ( -0.79) | 26.09% ( 0.14) | 43.4% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% ( -0.88) | 51.84% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.4% ( -0.77) | 73.6% ( 0.77) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( -1) | 31.29% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.36% ( -1.18) | 67.64% ( 1.19) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( -0.06) | 23.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.12% ( -0.09) | 57.88% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.51% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.4% |
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