The potential outcome of this huge game in La Liga depends significantly on the character of the Alaves side following their confirmed relegation last weekend.
Should the hosts come out with plenty of hunger to finish positively, they could well pick up a result following their excellent home form, but should the visitors outmatch their desire to win, they could well earn the crucial three points required to potentially see them through to safety.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.
-0.17) 
0.04) 
