Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 |
20 | Alaves | 38 | -34 | 31 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Alaves in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Alaves.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Espanyol |
43.71% ( -0.17) | 26.11% ( 0.05) | 30.17% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 52.18% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.95% ( -0.12) | 52.05% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.22% ( -0.11) | 73.78% ( 0.11) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.32% ( -0.14) | 23.68% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.21% ( -0.2) | 57.79% ( 0.2) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.37% ( 0.03) | 31.63% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.96% ( 0.03) | 68.04% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.71% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.17% |
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