Alaves desperately need wins at this stage of the season, but they have only been victorious on one occasion on their travels in La Liga this term. The Basque outfit have shown recent improvement, though, and we believe that they will be good enough for a point on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 61.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 17.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Alaves
61.42%	21.56%	17.02%

Both teams to score 50.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.9%

46.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.6%

68.4%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.5%

14.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.51%

42.49%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.52%

40.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.91%

77.09%

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 61.41%

Alaves 17.02%

Draw 21.55%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-0 @ 10.94% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 6.37% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-2 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.31% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.41%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.55%	0-1 @ 5.31% 1-2 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.93% Total : 17.02%