It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect when two European powerhouses collide in a pre-season friendly, but Sunday's affair is likely to be a close game, and we are backing a low-scoring draw here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
-0.08) 
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