SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Inter Milan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
46.07% ( 0.36) | 25.67% ( 0.02) | 28.26% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( -0.3) | 51.18% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( -0.26) | 73.02% ( 0.26) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( 0.04) | 22.19% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.4% ( 0.06) | 55.6% ( -0.06) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.41% ( -0.45) | 32.59% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.87% ( -0.51) | 69.12% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.06% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 28.26% |
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