As Atletico are unbeaten in pre-season to date, and now approaching full fitness, they can take advantage of Juve's injury problems and difficulties in defence: in the post-Chiellini and De Ligt era, the Bianconeri have conceded twice in both of their last two games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.