It is difficult to imagine Bayern taking their foot off the gas here despite having nothing left to play for, so we are predicting an away victory. The hosts continue to finish the season poorly so they are unlikely to be able to contain the firepower of their visitors, although the intense atmosphere and strong record at the Opel Arena mean they should cause some nervy moments for the champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
13.72%	18.9%	67.39%

Both teams to score 51.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.19%

40.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.8%

63.21%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.35%

41.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.87%

78.14%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.83%

11.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.35%

35.65%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 13.72%

Bayern Munich 67.37%

Draw 18.9%

Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern Munich
1-0 @ 4.07% 2-1 @ 3.91% 2-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.55% Total : 13.72%	1-1 @ 8.93% 0-0 @ 4.65% 2-2 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.9%	0-2 @ 11.17% 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-3 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 7.15% 0-4 @ 4.48% 1-4 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 3.13% 0-5 @ 1.96% 1-5 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.97% Total : 67.37%