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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Vefa Stadi
B

Karagumruk
0 - 1
Besiktas


Mercan (24'), Veseli (54'), Dresevic (69'), Dursun (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fernandes (85')
Uysal (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, June 6 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 1-3 Besiktas
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-2 Besiktas

With one eye on their European commitment three days later, Besiktas will be tempted to rest several key stars for this one. However, we are backing the away side to come out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
20.45% (-0.601 -0.6) 21.31% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 58.24% (0.643 0.64)
Both teams to score 58.12% (-0.84800000000001 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.41% (-0.672 -0.67)39.59% (0.678 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.06% (-0.705 -0.7)61.94% (0.71 0.71)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.956 -0.96)32.92% (0.961 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.5% (-1.079 -1.08)69.5% (1.083 1.08)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.64% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)13.35% (0.028 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.76% (-0.055 -0.05)40.24% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 20.45%
    Besiktas 58.24%
    Draw 21.31%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 5.46% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-0 @ 4.89% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.71% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 20.45%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.137 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 9.9% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.91% (0.26 0.26)
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.268 0.27)
1-3 @ 6.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.98% (0.168 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.69% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 3.34% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 3.01% (0.082 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.35%
0-5 @ 1.21% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 58.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, June 6 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, June 3 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-0 Kayserispor
Tuesday, May 30 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 4-1 Karagumruk
Monday, May 22 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Adana Demirspor
Wednesday, May 17 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-1 Antalyaspor
Saturday, April 29 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Neftchi Baku 1-3 Besiktas
Thursday, August 10 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Tirana 0-2 Besiktas
Thursday, August 3 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Besiktas 3-1 KF Tirana
Thursday, July 27 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, July 21 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Besiktas 4-0 Mezokovesdi
Tuesday, July 18 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Besiktas 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, July 15 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1


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