Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 20.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
Result | ||
Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Besiktas |
20.45% ( -0.6) | 21.31% ( -0.04) | 58.24% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.85) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.41% ( -0.67) | 39.59% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.06% ( -0.7) | 61.94% ( 0.71) |
Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( -0.96) | 32.92% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% ( -1.08) | 69.5% ( 1.08) |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.64% ( -0.02) | 13.35% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.76% ( -0.05) | 40.24% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Besiktas |
2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.33% Total : 20.45% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 3.34% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.49% Total : 58.24% |
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