Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.06%) and 0-2 (5.31%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Inter Milan
35.73% ( 0.4)	22.73% ( 0.08)	41.55% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 66.16% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.31% (

-0.3)

34.69% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.36% (

-0.34)

56.64% (

0.34)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

0.06)

19.95% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.89% (

0.1)

52.11% (

-0.1)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.64% (

-0.32)

17.35% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.25% (

-0.56)

47.75% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 35.73%

Inter Milan 41.55%

Draw 22.73%

Chelsea	Draw	Inter Milan
2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.73%	1-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.73%	1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 41.55%