Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.44%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Chelsea |
55.44% ( -14.43) | 20.86% ( 4.45) | 23.69% ( 9.99) |
Both teams to score 64.56% ( 2.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.74% ( -4.77) | 33.26% ( 4.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.98% ( -5.67) | 55.02% ( 5.67) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.88% ( -4.76) | 12.11% ( 4.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.32% ( -11.14) | 37.68% ( 11.14) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.46% ( 6.98) | 26.54% ( -6.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.25% ( 8.41) | 61.75% ( -8.41) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( -1.23) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -1.3) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( -2.26) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( -1.68) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( -2.11) 4-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.51) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -1.23) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -1.37) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.5) Other @ 2.67% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 1.97) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 1.29) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.75) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.37) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.86% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 2.13) 0-1 @ 4.26% ( 1.57) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( 1.36) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.96) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 1.24) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.72) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.43) Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: