SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
41.52% ( -0.1) | 24.21% ( -0.02) | 34.27% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 60.19% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.67% ( 0.11) | 42.33% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% ( 0.11) | 64.73% ( -0.11) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( 0.01) | 20.55% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% ( 0) | 53.06% ( 0) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( 0.12) | 24.24% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% ( 0.17) | 58.59% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 41.52% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.27% |
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