Although Mainz appear to have overcome their early season slump, they are still struggling to put wins on the board, and we can envisage that continuing on Sunday. Freiburg probably have a little more quality than the hosts but they are struggling to juggle two competitions at present, so they may be content to claim a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Freiburg
40.78% ( 4.99)	26.03% ( 1)	33.19% ( -5.98)

Both teams to score 53.62% (

-3.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27% (

-4.83)

50.72% (

4.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37% (

-4.42)

72.62% (

4.42)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.44% (

0.48)

24.56% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.96% (

0.67)

59.04% (

-0.67)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.08% (

-5.69)

28.92% (

5.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.2% (

-7.66)

64.8% (

7.66)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 40.78%

Freiburg 33.19%

Draw 26.03%

Mainz 05	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 1.92) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 7% ( 1.43) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.68% Total : 40.78%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 1.29) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.55) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.91) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.73) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -1) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.76) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.66) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.54) Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.19%