SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
35.13% ( 0.27) | 24.23% ( 0.73) | 40.64% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 60.34% ( -2.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.78% ( -3.5) | 42.22% ( 3.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.38% ( -3.6) | 64.62% ( 3.6) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( -1.48) | 23.71% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( -2.17) | 57.83% ( 2.17) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -1.93) | 20.91% ( 1.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( -3.11) | 53.63% ( 3.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.79)2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.13% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.3)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.74)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.74)0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.37)0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.23)0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.77% Total : 40.64% |
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