While a draw will not be surprising, Mainz could inflict another away loss on Heidenheim, whose next defeat on the road would be their seventh.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.05) 
