Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Atletico Madrid
27.56% ( -0.04)	26.9% ( -0.07)	45.54% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 48.3% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.67% (

0.25)

56.33% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.64% (

0.2)

77.36% (

-0.2)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.12% (

0.1)

35.88% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.34% (

0.1)

72.66% (

-0.1)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.33% (

0.17)

24.67% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.8% (

0.23)

59.2% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 27.56%

Atletico Madrid 45.54%

Draw 26.89%

Cadiz	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.56%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 45.54%