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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Juventus Stadium
LL

Juventus
2 - 2
Lazio

Vlahovic (10'), Morata (36')
Bernardeschi (45+2'), Cuadrado (68'), Ake (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sandro (51' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (90+6')
Acerbi (41'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Patric (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-1 Lazio

Should they lose to Lazio, this will be just the second Serie A season in which Juventus have taken fewer points on home soil than when playing away, which demonstrates their faded aura of invincibility in Turin. The visitors - second-top scorers in Serie A this term - should have little fear of failure, given the state they find their opponents in, but are too defensively flaky to guarantee any more than a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawLazio
49.39% (-0.151 -0.15) 25.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 25.49% (0.16 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.97% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.24% (0.167 0.17)50.76% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.35% (0.147 0.15)72.65% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)20.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)53.09% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.42% (0.229 0.23)34.58% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.7% (0.24 0.24)71.3% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 49.39%
    Lazio 25.49%
    Draw 25.11%
JuventusDrawLazio
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.69% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 7.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.25% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 2-4 Inter Milan
Wednesday, May 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Juventus
Friday, May 6 at 8pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Venezia
Sunday, May 1 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Juventus
Monday, April 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, April 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Bologna
Saturday, April 16 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Sampdoria
Saturday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 3-4 Lazio
Saturday, April 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Torino
Saturday, April 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Lazio
Sunday, April 10 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A


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