Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.17%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
51.17% ( 1.15) | 23.27% ( -0.2) | 25.56% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 58.04% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.23% ( 0.14) | 42.77% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.83% ( 0.14) | 65.17% ( -0.13) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.21% ( 0.48) | 16.79% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.25% ( 0.84) | 46.75% ( -0.84) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% ( -0.66) | 30.25% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( -0.79) | 66.42% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.17% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.05% Total : 25.56% |
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