Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 9.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.