Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 74.14%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
74.14% ( 0.03) | 16.18% ( -0.02) | 9.68% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.81% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.96% ( 0.04) | 39.04% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.64% ( 0.04) | 61.36% ( -0.04) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.97% ( 0.02) | 9.03% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.26% ( 0.04) | 30.74% ( -0.04) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.55% ( -0) | 47.45% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.18% ( 0) | 82.82% |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-0 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 74.13% | 1-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 9.68% |
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