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Club Friendlies
Aug 2, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
The National Stadium
BL

Liverpool
3 - 4
Bayern

Gakpo (2'), van Dijk (28'), Diaz (66')
Gakpo (56'), Alexander-Arnold (58')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Gnabry (33'), Sane (42'), Stanisic (80'), Kratzig (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Leicester
Sunday, July 30 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, July 29 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Liverpool 3-1 Bayern Munich

Facing an injury-hit and weary Bayern crop, who also have a lengthy plane journey from Japan threatening to harm their preparations, Liverpool arguably come into Wednesday's match as the favourites. While another four-goal showing might be out of the question, Klopp's side should capitalise on Bayern's recent shortcomings to cap off their Singapore sojourn with an impressive triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.48%) and 1-0 (5.01%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawBayern Munich
44.3% (0.5 0.5) 21.56% (-0.101 -0.1) 34.14% (-0.404 -0.4)
Both teams to score 70.31% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.87% (0.381 0.38)29.13% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.87% (0.468 0.47)50.13% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.91% (0.322 0.32)14.09% (-0.326 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.29% (0.631 0.63)41.71% (-0.635 -0.63)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.012 -0.01)18.16% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)49.13% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 44.3%
    Bayern Munich 34.14%
    Draw 21.56%
LiverpoolDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.67% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.038 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.3% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 44.3%
1-1 @ 8.55% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 7.15% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 2.66% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.56%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 4.37% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 4.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.72% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.73%
3-4 @ 1.13% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Leicester
Sunday, July 30 at 10am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Greuther Furth 4-4 Liverpool
Monday, July 24 at 12.15pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Karlsruher 2-4 Liverpool
Wednesday, July 19 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Southampton 4-4 Liverpool
Sunday, May 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-3 Liverpool
Monday, May 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Kawasaki 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, July 29 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Bayern 1-2 Man City
Wednesday, July 26 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 6-0 Schalke
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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