Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.48%) and 1-0 (5.01%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Bayern Munich |
44.3% ( 0.5) | 21.56% ( -0.1) | 34.14% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 70.31% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.87% ( 0.38) | 29.13% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.87% ( 0.47) | 50.13% ( -0.47) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.91% ( 0.32) | 14.09% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.29% ( 0.63) | 41.71% ( -0.63) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.84% ( -0.01) | 18.16% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.86% ( -0.02) | 49.13% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.74% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.73% 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.14% |
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