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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Liverpool |
15.67% ( 0.01) | 20.12% ( -0.01) | 64.21% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.8% ( 0.06) | 42.2% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.39% ( 0.06) | 64.6% ( -0.06) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.17% ( 0.05) | 39.82% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.51% ( 0.05) | 76.49% ( -0.04) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% ( 0.02) | 12.44% ( -0.02) |