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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
St Mary's Stadium
LL

Southampton
4 - 4
Liverpool

Ward-Prowse (19'), Deen Sulemana (28', 48'), Armstrong (64')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jota (10', 73'), Firmino (14'), Gakpo (72')
Tsimikas (25'), Elliott (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
15.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 20.12% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 64.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 52.69% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.8% (0.057000000000002 0.06)42.2% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (0.058 0.06)64.6% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.17% (0.049999999999997 0.05)39.82% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.49% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.56% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.44% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.64% (0.033999999999999 0.03)38.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 15.67%
    Liverpool 64.21%
    Draw 20.12%
SouthamptonDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 4.56% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.67%
1-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.12%
0-2 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 6.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.9%
1-4 @ 3.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 64.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, May 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 4-3 Southampton
Monday, May 8 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Bournemouth
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-3 Southampton
Friday, April 21 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-3 Liverpool
Monday, May 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, May 6 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Fulham
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-3 Spurs
Sunday, April 30 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Premier League


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