Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.96%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SV Darmstadt 98 would win this match.