SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.95%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 23.01% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.93%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
23.01% ( 0.25) | 20.03% ( 0.02) | 56.95% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 66.85% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.07% ( 0.2) | 29.92% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.89% ( 0.24) | 51.1% ( -0.25) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.3) | 25.18% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.08% ( 0.42) | 59.91% ( -0.43) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.36% ( -0.01) | 10.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.52% ( -0.02) | 34.47% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 23.01% | 1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.48% Total : 20.03% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 6% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 56.95% |
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