Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.54%. A draw has a probability of 14.2% and a win for Manchester United has a probability of 11.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.72%), while for a Manchester United win it is 1-2 (3.16%).
