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FA Cup | Final
May 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wembley Stadium
MU

Man City
1 - 2
Man Utd

Doku (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Garnacho (30'), Mainoo (39')
Mainoo (45'), Alvarez (90+7'), McTominay (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Manchester CityDrawManchester United
66.67% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02) 16.86% (0.0029999999999966 0) 16.46% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 67.41% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.5% (0.019000000000005 0.02)24.5% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.74% (0.021999999999998 0.02)44.26% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.04% (0.0040000000000049 0)6.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.52% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.027999999999992 0.03)27.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.035000000000004 0.04)63.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 66.68%
    Manchester United 16.46%
    Draw 16.86%
Manchester CityDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 6.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 5.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-2 @ 3.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 2.77%
5-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-2 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
6-1 @ 1.23%
6-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 66.68%
1-1 @ 6.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 1.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 16.86%
1-2 @ 4.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 16.46%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 0-2 Man City
Tuesday, May 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-4 Man City
Saturday, May 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Wolves
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Man City
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-4 Man City
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, May 19 at 4pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Newcastle
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Arsenal
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 4-0 Man Utd
Monday, May 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-1 Burnley
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 4-2 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Premier League


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