SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 81.08%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 7.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.73%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (2.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
81.08% ( -0.66) | 11.39% ( 0.32) | 7.53% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 58.91% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.58% ( -0.41) | 21.42% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 59.91% ( -0.57) | 40.09% ( 0.57) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96% ( -0.17) | 4% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.13% ( -0.53) | 16.87% ( 0.53) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.37% ( 0.42) | 38.63% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.63% ( 0.4) | 75.37% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 3-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.15)5-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.07)6-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03)7-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 81.08% | 1-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 11.39% | 1-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.66% Total : 7.53% |
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