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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Etihad Stadium
WH

Man City
3 - 1
West Ham

Foden (2', 18'), Rodri (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kudus (42')
Alvarez (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.64%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 4.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.58%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawWest Ham United
86.64% (-1.189 -1.19) 8.57% (0.864 0.86) 4.79% (0.329 0.33)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-3.177 -3.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.86% (-3.571 -3.57)18.14% (3.576 3.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.61% (-5.472 -5.47)35.39% (5.477 5.48)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.25% (-0.64 -0.64)2.75% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.37% (-2.393 -2.39)12.63% (2.398 2.4)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.76% (-2.873 -2.87)43.24% (2.877 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.51% (-2.509 -2.51)79.49% (2.513 2.51)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 86.64%
    West Ham United 4.79%
    Draw 8.57%
Manchester CityDrawWest Ham United
3-0 @ 9.2% (1.047 1.05)
4-0 @ 8.26% (0.396 0.4)
3-1 @ 7.71% (0.317 0.32)
2-0 @ 7.68% (1.345 1.35)
4-1 @ 6.93% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.691 0.69)
5-0 @ 5.94% (-0.136 -0.14)
5-1 @ 4.98% (-0.531 -0.53)
1-0 @ 4.27% (0.992 0.99)
6-0 @ 3.56% (-0.351 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.121 -0.12)
6-1 @ 2.98% (-0.563 -0.56)
4-2 @ 2.9% (-0.333 -0.33)
5-2 @ 2.09% (-0.413 -0.41)
7-0 @ 1.83% (-0.329 -0.33)
7-1 @ 1.53% (-0.424 -0.42)
6-2 @ 1.25% (-0.358 -0.36)
Other @ 5.87%
Total : 86.64%
1-1 @ 3.58% (0.606 0.61)
2-2 @ 2.7% (0.093 0.09)
0-0 @ 1.19% (0.339 0.34)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 8.57%
1-2 @ 1.5% (0.152 0.15)
0-1 @ 1% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 4.79%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 0-2 Man City
Tuesday, May 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-4 Man City
Saturday, May 11 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Wolves
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 0-2 Man City
Sunday, April 28 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-4 Man City
Thursday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-0 Chelsea
Saturday, April 20 at 5.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Luton
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Liverpool
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 5-2 West Ham
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Fulham
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Premier League


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