SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 86.64%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 4.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.58%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | West Ham United |
86.64% ( -1.19) | 8.57% ( 0.86) | 4.79% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -3.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.86% ( -3.57) | 18.14% ( 3.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.61% ( -5.47) | 35.39% ( 5.48) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.25% ( -0.64) | 2.75% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 87.37% ( -2.39) | 12.63% ( 2.4) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.76% ( -2.87) | 43.24% ( 2.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.51% ( -2.51) | 79.49% ( 2.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | West Ham United |
| 3-0 @ 9.2% ( 1.05) 4-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 7.68% ( 1.35)4-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.69)5-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.53)1-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.99)6-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.35)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.56)4-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.33)5-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.41)7-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.33)7-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.42)6-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.36)Other @ 5.87% Total : 86.64% | 1-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.19% Total : 8.57% | 1-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 1% ( 0.23)Other @ 2.29% Total : 4.79% |
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