SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 7.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 3-0 (11.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Instituto |
76.64% ( -0.42) | 15.6% ( 0.25) | 7.76% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 41.24% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( -0.49) | 43.01% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( -0.49) | 65.41% ( 0.49) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.58% ( -0.22) | 9.42% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.32% ( -0.53) | 31.68% ( 0.53) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.53% ( 0.12) | 54.47% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.43% ( 0.07) | 87.57% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Instituto |
| 2-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 11.27% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 76.62% | 1-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.46% Total : 15.6% | 0-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.46% Total : 7.76% |
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