Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.21%) and 3-1 (5.05%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Club Brugge |
41.17% ( -0.82) | 22.03% ( -0.15) | 36.79% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 69.09% ( 0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.04% ( 0.94) | 30.95% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.66% ( 1.1) | 52.33% ( -1.1) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.03% ( 0.07) | 15.96% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.74% ( 0.12) | 45.26% ( -0.12) |
Club Brugge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.22% ( 0.86) | 17.78% ( -0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.51% ( 1.46) | 48.49% ( -1.46) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Club Brugge |
2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.8% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 9% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.11) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.79% |
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