SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.46%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 18.95% and a draw had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-2 (4.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Hamburger SV |
63.46% ( -0.41) | 17.58% ( 0.11) | 18.95% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 69.92% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.47% ( -0.1) | 23.53% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.03% ( -0.13) | 42.97% ( 0.12) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.68% ( -0.11) | 7.31% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.55% ( -0.28) | 26.44% ( 0.27) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% ( 0.19) | 24.56% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.95% ( 0.27) | 59.04% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)Other @ 5.02% Total : 63.46% | 1-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 17.58% | 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.03% Total : 18.95% |
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