SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 77.94%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 9.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (2.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
77.94% ( 0.21) | 13.04% ( -0.01) | 9.01% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.74) | 24.81% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.33% ( -0.97) | 44.67% ( 0.97) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.89% ( -0.12) | 5.11% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.69% ( -0.35) | 20.31% ( 0.34) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.67% ( -1) | 38.32% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.92% ( -0.97) | 75.08% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 5.13% Total : 77.94% | 1-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.25% Total : 13.04% | 1-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 9.01% |
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